When Pak will Cease to Exist?: Lalit k kaul

 

When will Pakistan Cease to Exist?     

                                                   Lalit K Kaul

Anything that's born must die. Anything that has a beginning has an end. Pakistan was born from the womb of Mother India through the process of bloody cesarean. It has aged and therefore must die. Who will decide Pakistan's exit time from the world map? One and the only one- the Yamraj- the United States of America. Let us see why and how of it.

The Handicap of Pakistan by Birth:

It was the very ideology that gave birth to Pakistan and that was Jinnah Doctrine that Religion defines a Race, a Nation; its Culture and Civilization. It's history of existence is witness to how uncivilized a Nation it has been. Since a religion defined everything about a human being existence then anyone outside of that religion was to be either annihilated or forcibly converted. That kind of barbarism is still going on and is/has been consuming all the energies- mental and physical- of that religion's followers. What Jinnah failed to recognize is that within a religion there existed various sects and the predominant one was going to annihilate the others and therefore that was going to define Pakistan's culture. Once a people's culture becomes barbaric it only ends up devouring a Nation and that's what is the reality that stares at Pakistan today. What's singular to Pakistani culture is that it breeds and nurtures hatred towards all other religious groups which don't follow a particular dominant sect in Jinnah's religion.

The Contradictions within & Achievements of Pakistan:

Since a religion was to define everything about a human being, how, possibly, could Pakistan be a democratic country governed by a Parliamentary democracy? No way! Therefore, one comes across an ostensible democratic dispensation but which essentially is run by a despot in uniform. Consensus? Yes, indeed. But consensus not arrived at by the people's representatives, but by the “Establishment".

 So, while the doctrine of “India Dushman Desh" was the natural outcome of Jinnah Doctrine, it was zealously kept alive by the politician-establishment combine only to devour all the available resources in Pakistan. Yet, to keep this doctrine alive in public domain, the politician-establishment combine waged four wars on India and also proxy wars by supporting and encouraging terrorism in Punjab and J & K; this proxy war is ON because a religion decides everything.

Pakistan's politico-military leadership chose to become hand-maidens of the US in return for billions of dollars that weren't going to be used for any growth, development and welfare schemes, but for filling up the coffers of politician-establishment combine and to balkanize “Dushman Mulk” by promoting terrorism. How would the Americans dollars come in?

By providing bases to the US in Pakistan; by joining hands with the US to ostensibly fight the erstwhile USSR occupation of Afghanistan, but in realty to create the Taliban out of the hapless Afghan refugees and to develop a vast network of terror groups, inspired by that religion which inspired Jinnah, to implement “Thousand Cuts" doctrine.

According to Jinnah a religion defined everything about a human being, but his doctrine achieved a step higher in that it ended up with defining the human being itself. So, this Jinnah's human being did a complete U-turn post 9/11 event. The politician-establishment combine which had raised Taliban and facilitated their takeover of Afghanistan in 1996, now decided to fight the Taliban in Afghanistan in return for billions of American dollars! That was declared as “war on terror" by the US and imagine a terrorist breeding country joining this “war on terror”! In exchange of dollars, innocent Afghan refugees were handed over to the US military in the name of Taliban and whereas all through more than 20 years Pakistan's politico-military leadership sustained the Taliban in Afghanistan and Pakistan and thus bleeding the US and ensuring the return of the Taliban in Afghanistan.

The US understood this double game of Pakistan and started not only distancing itself from it, but also left billions of dollars’ worth of defense equipment in Afghanistan- the kind which Pakistan can't afford to have even in her dreams.

While the politician-establishment combine was rejoicing and taking credit for Taliban take over in Afghanistan, the Afghan Taliban had things in mind that were to be antagonistic to Pakistan because the Taliban too had understood the double game which the combine had played against them.

The beginning of the end of Pakistan got huge momentum from then onwards because the US and Taliban seemed to have joined hands as both felt cheated by Pakistan.

China US Afghanistan Pakistan and KPK:

Afghanistan never recognized the Durand Line, no matter who the ruler was. This line had divided the Pasthun population and that was never agreeable to an Afghan. The way Pakistan had made innocent Afghans a sacrificial goat to satiate the hunger of the US, has deeply hurt both the Taliban and Afghans. The TTP, a baby of Pakistan, which is mostly based in KPK and adjoining areas is leading a war against the Pakistani State & the Afghan Taliban is doing nothing to rein in the TTP despite protests by Pakistan. Even the US has not been found giving any statements at any level in the White House in favour of Pakistan. The US Ambassador has been roaming around freely in Pakistan and meeting with different people has not cared to make statement on Afghan Taliban’s unwillingness to rein in TTP and shirking its responsibility by terming the TTP attacks as internal matter of Pakistan. Why is the US silent?

The US cannot countenance growing influence of China in Afghanistan and will deploy all possible means to thwart China's advances in the region. Nobody knows what transpired at Doha which led to ostensibly “inglorious” exit of the US from Afghanistan. The US wants to have a hold in Afghanistan for geo-political reasons and it can succeed only if Taliban allows it. The bargain the Taliban could settle for is that the US remains neutral in Afghanistan's quest to annex KPK and FATA and also provides an alternative to China's economic initiatives in there. The US is known to sacrifice anyone, anything, anybody and any nation for the sake of its geo-political and geo-economic interests. The US does not view Pakistan as a reliable partner anymore and would prefer Afghanistan over it. Pakistan having antagonized both, the possibility is real that the two may come together to annex KPK and FATA in which the US plays a covert role. What role India will play keeping in mind its relationship with Afghan Taliban, the US and Pakistan; only time shall tell. In my opinion India may not remain neutral because geo-politically and geo-economically Afghanistan is more important to India than it is to the US.

Balochistan and Sindh:

The politician-establishment combine is known to have treated and are treating Balochistan and Sindh as colonies of Punjabi Muslim elite. Same is true for the POK and GB. This sustained exploitation of these regions that has left the people in abject poverty and deprived of basic amenities is the cause for unrest in these regions.

Balochs have taken the war into the camp of “establishment”. The “Hafiz e Quran" seems to have no answer for rising attacks of BLA and BLA-TTP combine on mosques and police and army convoys. The attacks on mosques tell a sordid tale on Jinnah's Doctrine. To show their potency, the “Hafiz e Quran" is getting innocent Balochs and Afghans arrested! The Baloch and Sindhi Human Rights activists have been active since decades, but in the recent UNGA session both put their case very effectively backed with well researched statistics on the barbarism of the Pakistani State being inflicted on them since the very inception of Pakistan.

The US Ambassador to Pakistan recently visited Gawadar and it is believed that Pakistani authorities were more than willing to give all the sought information. While Pakistani may be desperate to be once again in the good books of the US, the Q is: why was the Ambassador seeking all the information? He is known to have met Baloch people too. If the US must take charge of Gawadar then Balochistan must cede from Pakistan; given that the Balochs have no love lost for China and may seek assistance from the US in their independence movement against Pakistan.  How the US will play next move, only the time shall reveal, but the fact that the “establishment” is unable to get things under control, any outside support would be like petrol in already lit fire.

The US China and Afghanistan:

Looks like that the role of the US in Balochistan may depend upon success story of the US-Afghan relationship. If the Taliban and the US come to agree on KPK and FATA being a part of Afghanistan; Balochistan would be the next in line. The US just need to look the other way if and when Afghanistan overtly initiates annexation of KPK and FATA. Right time is now as Jinnah's Doctrine has succeeded in creating a Failed State- politically, economically and socially and that's why China, KSA, Qatar and UAE are looking at Pakistan as a burden which, in due time, they must stop carrying on their shoulders.

Will China look the other way if 1) Afghan leadership promises it some stake alongside of the US as far as getting hold of resources in Afghanistan is concerned only if to bring Afghanistan out of its stagnated economy and 2) promises China on maintaining silence on Uyghur Muslims and not yielding any ground to East Turkmenistan activists against it?

 If there are no permanent friends and foes in geo-politics then the above scenario is quite probable. In any case China seems to have given up on CPEC because of Pakistan's failure to contribute financially and failure to ensure security of Chinese built infrastructure and the people of Chinese origin associated with it.

India's Role:

Wherever there is a terrorist attack in the world its roots are traced to Pakistan. India having suffered her mentally sick neighbour for 75 years need to lobby harder in the diplomatic circles worldwide that this menace of terrorism will cease to be if only Pakistan disintegrates and ceases to exist. Because funding of terror factories in Pakistan is done by investing a % of loot from Balochistan, Sindh, POK and GB. The Punjab part is parasitical and like a pest that has been sucking the blood of Balochistan, Sindh, POK and GB. Therefore, if the arteries that are lifeline of terror factories in Pakistan are cut open from them, the whole network of terrorism will collapse. Therefore, the UN and the developed world need to pay heed to the sufferings of Baloch, Sindhis, Pashtuns and residents of POK and GB and recognize all of them as separate Nations based on their ethnicity, culture and language.

India’s neighbourhood has one rogue state and another mentally sick state. India need to do something drastic diplomatically in order to isolate one and decimate the other.