Elections in J&K shall be a Precursor to Resurgence of anti-India Movement:Lalit k kaul
Elections in the UT of
J&K shall be a Precursor to Resurgence of anti-India Movement
Lalit K Kaul
The SC of India has suggested that elections to the Assembly of the
UT of J&K be held by October 2024. The “mainstream” (PAGD) has been asking,
“If situation is normal in the UT of J&K then why elections are not being
held”. What is the urgency and why the PAGD conglomeration is so desperate for
holding the said elections? The democratic process that continued since 1947,
what did it achieve and how did it benefit the people of the erstwhile state of
J&K? The answer is that those who swore by the accession of the erstwhile
princely state of J&K to the Indian Union, surreptitiously planned
insurgency against the Indian State alongside of the avowedly anti-India forces
like Hurriyat Conference that culminated into a dehumanized Kashmiri society
and the forced near complete exodus of the Kashmiri Pandit Community from the
Kashmir Valley. In addition to it, the role of duly elected representatives of
the people of J&K was to embezzle Central government funds worth thousands
of crores of rupees as there was no accountability for such funds. In addition
to filling personal coffers that made them filthy rich, the funds were also
used for fueling insurgency against the Indian State at the behest of India’s
Western neighbor. Thus, the elected representatives did no good to the people
and instead traumatized them all.
There is also this noise being made about restoration of Full State
status for J&K. If the elected representatives have an honest intent for
welfare of their constituencies then status of J&K as UT or full-fledged
state should not matter because the difference between the two is only about
who is in-charge of law and order in the region and deprivation of this
authority to a UT does not in any way hinder or impede the implementation of
such schemes for the growth and development in the region that would lead to
prosperity of the people over a period of time. The only advantage for the
Central government and disadvantage for the anti-India forces is that any
activity inimical to the interests of India’s integrity shall not be allowed to
take roots and prosper.
Political Statements of
PAGD Conglomerate post the SC approval of the Revocation of Article 370:
Mehbooba Mufti: We don't have to lose heart. We will continue our struggle.
The Supreme Court is not God. …... We cannot treat it as God's verdict,"
Mehbooba Mufti told reporters in Kupwara.
She said people opposing special status to J-K want "us to give
up".
"Our opponents want that we give up the fight,
but we will continue till our last breath. We have given a lot of sacrifices,
and we cannot let them go in vain," she said. "Don't lose heart,
don't lose hope. Jammu and Kashmir has seen a lot of ups and downs. The SC
verdict today is a halt, it is not our destination. Don't make the mistake of
considering it as the end. Our opponents want us to lose hope and accept
defeat. But that should not be the case," she said.
Farooq Abdullah: Former Jammu and Kashmir chief minister
Farooq Abdullah said, “If we remain friendly with our neighbors, both will
progress.” National Conference MP Farooq Abdullah said India could meet the same
fate as Gaza and Palestine, which are being bombed by Israeli forces, if it
doesn't find a solution through dialogue with Pakistan.
Omar
Abdullah: National
Conference (NC) leader Omar Abdullah on Monday said the Supreme Court's verdict
on Article 370 was a "defeat for the people of Jammu and Kashmir",
adding that "it is a setback, but the struggle doesn't end". While
speaking to India Today TV on the top court's verdict, former J&K Chief
Minister Omar Abdullah said, "It is a defeat for the people of Jammu and
Kashmir. This is not a personal loss or a defeat for the National Conference,
it's a collective loss."
PAGD Declarations: On August 4, 2019, the first Gupkar Declaration was
unanimously passed by all present as a baseline. It was unanimously resolved:
1.
That all the parties would be united in their resolve to protect and defend the
identity, autonomy and special status of J&K against all attacks and
onslaughts whatsoever.
2.
That modification, abrogation of Articles 35A, 370, unconstitutional
delimitation or trifurcation of the State would be an aggression against the
people of Jammu, Kashmir and Ladakh.
3. That the parties
participating in the meeting resolved to seek audience with the President and
Prime Minister of India and the leaders of other political parties to apprise
them of the current situation and make an appeal to them to safeguard the legitimate
interests of the people of the State with regard to the guarantees given to the
State by the Constitution of our country.
The second Gupkar Declaration, was signed on 22 August
2020 by seven political
parties, including National
Conference, People's
Democratic Party, Communist
Party of India (Marxist), Jammu
and Kashmir People's Conference, Awami
National Conference, Indian
National Congress and Jammu
& Kashmir People's Movement. The signatories once again
asserted that they were bound by the status quo of August 4, 2019. The Gupkar
declaration and parties would strive for the restoration of Article
370 and Article
35A.
On 17
November 2020, the Indian National Congress denied
their involvement with the PAGD. The Congress Party also condemned Mehbooba Mufti's
comments on abandoning the Indian Tricolor as well as Farooq Abdullah's
statements asking for foreign interference into India's internal matters.
In the context of the above
statements/declarations; an attempt is made to analyze the post-election
scenario in the UT of J&K.
The question is: These
political statements are for whose consumption?
They have declared their political agenda
of restoring Art 370 and 35 A. Is it their naivety or do they have a concrete
plan in mind? Sure, they are not as naïve as not to understand what it takes to
restore the said Articles. But the people are; because History is not
particularly the subject that enchants many and so the “educated" ones may
not know what it takes for restoration and/or may not be willing to strain
their minds on – how possibly that could happen? The other class- the so called
“uneducated and backward" and yet resourceful enough to be self-employed
don't have any requirement for reading such books that create only unemployment
and dependence on the government; therefore, are the most gullible to be made
into sacrificial goats by these political outfits. The public pronouncements,
made from a political platform, that promise “autonomy” if not “independence”
have this enormous potential to mobilize voters in their favour. So, the lure
of restoring the two Articles as a first step is too potent to be taken
casually by those who are politically opposed to it.
The Entry of AAP in J&K Politics:
The Kejriwal team may not publicly state that the
party will fight for restoration of the said Articles, but very quietly, in its
campaign, the outfit will poison the minds of potential voters against those
who revoked them. So, there is every possibility that he may use his popularity
among the Muslims outside J&K to impress upon the Valley Muslims that he is
the Messiah they were waiting for and that he had arrived. Quite capable to
promote anti India sentiments to capture the imagination of those who still are
committed to fight the war for Pakistan against India. In a way AAP may not be
any different from the “mainstream". It may be reasonable to say that
“mainstream" has now added strength.
JKNC and JKPDP may jointly fight the elections?
This joint front is going to face which political
opponents in J&K? Not the BJP or the Apni party and the JKWP. The immense
capability of Kejriwal to attract voters into his fold can offer some fight to
the front, but mostly the front is expected to win a majority of seats from
Valley and may not draw a blank from Jammu region. AAP may also make some
noticeable inroads into Kashmir garnering votes of both the sides- one,
disillusioned by the front politics and the other which are inimical to Indian
interests. In Jammu too, Kejriwal may strike some deal with Panthers party and
make its presence felt in there. So, factually speaking the front can have a
near clean sweep that may see them entering the Assembly with a resounding
majority.
The threat:
If the front gets an absolute majority in
the Assembly, may be get 2/3rd majority; then what can be its
implications? It's obvious that the two didn't join hands just to capture
power. The agenda has been set: Restoration of Art 370 and 35 A. So, with a 2/3rd majority
or a simple majority (don’t get into legalities and constitutional validity
etcetera) if the house passes the Bill for restoration of Art 370 and 35A, then
how will the dynamics roll out at the international level and particularly what
levels of energy will it infuse in the veins of Pakistan to vociferously
support the Bill passed democratically in the elected house of the UT of
J&K. The next step would be declaration of political autonomy for the UT of
J&K, if not freedom. For sure, AAP will support the Bill with all its
numbers and that support may convert a simple majority into a 2/3rd one.
Obviously, the LG will not concur; there may be State machinery crackdown; some
arrests; imposition of President's rule; yet the Cat would have been out of the
bag and a Bull in the China shop situation; yet the political message would
have gone across the Globe. The aforesaid political developments are quite
probable with high probability of occurrence and therefore a very serious
threat to India's integrity. Post abrogation, the peace witnessed in the region
may truly turn out to be “lull before the storm". What could not be
achieved through arms may be achievable through ballot.
Will Elections be held in 2024?
Not
unless the BJP is sure of winning as many seats in Jammu region as may be
necessary to thwart the nefarious political designs of the “mainstream”. It may
also estimate the chances of political outfits like Apni Party and JKWP
securing as many seats as required to disallow the JKNC, PDP and AAP
collectively securing a majority in the house. BJP is not as politically naïve
as not to estimate the costs the Nation will end up paying if the reins of
power (with absolute majority) fall into the hands of the trio- JKNC PDP and
AAP. Therefore, the onus of countering the political designs of the trio falls
on those political outfits in J&K who believe in the integrity of India and
have seen through the political designs of the trio and India’s Western neighbor.
Sheikh Mohammed Abdullah’s thoughts on Article 370:
To know his thoughts, one may enter the
link below in the Google or click at it.
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FGdJ1T1VUAEdf3f?format=jpg&name=medium
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